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Prediction for CME (2014-03-28T23:58:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-03-28T23:58Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-04-01T05:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Mar 29 1234 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 40329
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Mar 2014, 1203UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 Mar 2014 until 31 Mar 2014)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Mar 2014  10CM FLUX: 146 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Mar 2014  10CM FLUX: 143 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2014  10CM FLUX: 141 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 2017 produced two M class flares (M2.0 peak 19:18 UT and
M2.6 peak 23:51 UT on March 28). The flares were associated with two halo
CMEs, the first one with speeds of 412km/s (first seen by LASCO-C2 at 20:00
UT) and the second one 557 km/s (at 23:58 UT). The combination of these
CMEs may arrive to the Earth and cause up to minor storm conditions by 1
April around 05:00 UT.  Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, no
disturbances are expected in the next 48h.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 085, BASED ON 20 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 Mar 2014
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 146
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 020
AK WINGST              : 009
ESTIMATED AP           : 009
ESTIMATED ISN          : 084, BASED ON 22 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 
28  1904  1918 1927 N11W21 M2.0 SN       98/2017      V/2II/2 
28  2344  2351 2358 ////// M2.6          98/2017      II/2 
END

BT

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Lead Time: 64.43 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-03-29T12:34Z
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